Portfolio Manager - Prediction Markets

Leading the investment process for a dedicated prediction markets strategy, the full-time Portfolio Manager - Prediction Markets will manage P&L, oversee a global team of traders, and collaborate with quantitative research to enhance proprietary models and infrastructure, all while working remotely. Key Responsibilities Own the prediction markets P&L by setting strategy, managing risk limits, and ensuring compliance with drawdown and exposure parameters Lead the investment process, including idea generation, model validation, execution, and post-trade analysis Build and manage a team of traders and analysts, setting research priorities and developing talent Required Qualifications Significant experience managing a live quantitative or event-driven trading portfolio with P&L accountability Demonstrated edge in prediction markets, binary event trading, or closely related domains Strong quantitative foundation in probability, Bayesian inference, and statistical modeling Experience managing or mentoring junior trading professionals Undergraduate or postgraduate qualification in a quantitative discipline